Dane Van DomelenFiveThirtyEight’s NFL Game Spreads Worse Than Bovada’s for 2020 SeasonQB Elo and Traditional Elo both disappoint.3 min read·Jan 3, 2021----
Dane Van DomelenFor Second Consecutive Presidential Election, FiveThirtyEight Lags Simple Average of PollsThe bull case for Nate Silver is getting harder to make2 min read·Dec 31, 2020----
Dane Van DomelenThe Tara Reade/Joe Biden Story is Testing the Limits of Big Tech CensorshipTheir “equitable algorithms” are neither equitable nor algorithms4 min read·Apr 26, 2020----
Dane Van Domelen“Masks aren’t effective; they increase risk if worn improperly; they embolden people” — This is…New policy exposes misinformation underlying the previous one.5 min read·Apr 5, 2020----
Dane Van DomelenNo-Mask Messaging Bolstered by All-Caps Tweet from America’s Top DocPublic health experts maintain dogmatic position that’s wrong on face value2 min read·Feb 29, 2020----
Dane Van DomelenFiveThirtyEight’s NBA Predictions are Underperforming Simple Team MetricsBut their algorithms account for fatigue, travel distance, and altitude — cool!4 min read·Feb 9, 2020----
Dane Van DomelenWHO Philippines on Coronavirus: Masks are Effective, and… Not Needed?Should have stopped at three bullet points3 min read·Feb 1, 2020----
Dane Van DomelenFiveThirtyEight’s NBA Predictions: RAPTOR vs. ELOSome evidence for independent prognostic value5 min read·Jan 26, 2020----
Dane Van Domelen$40k In UPRO on its Inception Date (‘09) Would be Worth $1.1 Million TodayEqual amplification of risk and return: enticing!4 min read·Dec 1, 2019----