Dane Van Domelen·Jan 3, 2021FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Game Spreads Worse Than Bovada’s for 2020 SeasonQB Elo and Traditional Elo both disappoint.
Dane Van Domelen·Dec 31, 2020For Second Consecutive Presidential Election, FiveThirtyEight Lags Simple Average of PollsThe bull case for Nate Silver is getting harder to make
Dane Van Domelen·Apr 26, 2020The Tara Reade/Joe Biden Story is Testing the Limits of Big Tech CensorshipTheir “equitable algorithms” are neither equitable nor algorithms
Dane Van Domelen·Apr 5, 2020“Masks aren’t effective; they increase risk if worn improperly; they embolden people” — This is…New policy exposes misinformation underlying the previous one.
Dane Van Domelen·Feb 29, 2020No-Mask Messaging Bolstered by All-Caps Tweet from America’s Top DocPublic health experts maintain dogmatic position that’s wrong on face value
Dane Van Domelen·Feb 9, 2020FiveThirtyEight’s NBA Predictions are Underperforming Simple Team MetricsBut their algorithms account for fatigue, travel distance, and altitude — cool!
Dane Van Domelen·Feb 1, 2020WHO Philippines on Coronavirus: Masks are Effective, and… Not Needed?Should have stopped at three bullet points
Dane Van Domelen·Jan 26, 2020FiveThirtyEight’s NBA Predictions: RAPTOR vs. ELOSome evidence for independent prognostic value
Dane Van Domelen·Dec 1, 2019$40k In UPRO on its Inception Date (‘09) Would be Worth $1.1 Million TodayEqual amplification of risk and return: enticing!
