FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Game Spreads Worse Than Bovada’s for 2020 SeasonQB Elo and Traditional Elo both disappoint.Jan 3, 2021Jan 3, 2021
For Second Consecutive Presidential Election, FiveThirtyEight Lags Simple Average of PollsThe bull case for Nate Silver is getting harder to makeDec 31, 2020Dec 31, 2020
The Tara Reade/Joe Biden Story is Testing the Limits of Big Tech CensorshipTheir “equitable algorithms” are neither equitable nor algorithmsApr 26, 2020Apr 26, 2020
“Masks aren’t effective; they increase risk if worn improperly; they embolden people” — This is…New policy exposes misinformation underlying the previous one.Apr 5, 2020Apr 5, 2020
No-Mask Messaging Bolstered by All-Caps Tweet from America’s Top DocPublic health experts maintain dogmatic position that’s wrong on face valueFeb 29, 2020Feb 29, 2020
FiveThirtyEight’s NBA Predictions are Underperforming Simple Team MetricsBut their algorithms account for fatigue, travel distance, and altitude — cool!Feb 9, 2020Feb 9, 2020
WHO Philippines on Coronavirus: Masks are Effective, and… Not Needed?Should have stopped at three bullet pointsFeb 1, 2020Feb 1, 2020
FiveThirtyEight’s NBA Predictions: RAPTOR vs. ELOSome evidence for independent prognostic valueJan 26, 2020Jan 26, 2020
$40k In UPRO on its Inception Date (‘09) Would be Worth $1.1 Million TodayEqual amplification of risk and return: enticing!Dec 1, 2019Dec 1, 2019
